Rich Rogala Real Estate Reports

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7 Weeks Remain To Find A Home, Claim Up To $8,000 In Tax Credits

7 weeks remain for the Home Buyer Tax Credit ExpirationIn November, Congress extended and expanded the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program to include a subset of "move-up" buyers -- homeowners that have owned and lived in their home for 5 of the last 8 years.

The credit ranges up to $8,000 per buyer. There's now just 7 weeks left to take advantage.

To be eligible, home buyers must be under contract for a new home no later than April 30, 2010, and must be closed no later than June 30, 2010.

In addition to meeting the deadline dates, there's a basic set of requirements to be tax credit-eligible:

  • You can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  • You can't purchase the home from an entity in which the seller is a majority owner
  • You can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  • Each buyer in the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

There's other criteria, too.

For one, the sales price on the subject property cannot exceed $800,000. Homes sold for more than $800,000 are ineligible for the tax credit. Furthermore, households earning more than $125,000 as single-filers, or $225,500 for joint-filers, are ineligible.

You can read the complete eligibility requirements at the IRS website, or, you may just find it simpler to speak with your accountant about it. There are some nuances in qualifying for and claiming the tax credit on your returns and getting a professional's opinion is always wise.

And lastly, don't forget that government's tax credit program is a true tax credit. It's not a tax deduction.  This means that a tax filer whose "normal" tax liability is $3,500 and who is eligible for $8,000 in credit will receive a $4,500 refund from the U.S. Treasury.

If you're currently in the House Hunt, mark your calendar for April 30, 2010. It's 7 weeks away and you can be sure that as the date gets closer, buyer traffic is going to increase.  You may find sellers more willing to negotiate today than several weeks from now.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 09, 2010 | Comments (0)

Geek Gifts : The 16-Piece iPhone Coaster Set

iPhone CoastersYou could call it the Ultimate Geek Gift for an iPhone-toting friend -- or even for yourself. It's a set of 16 coasters made to look like iPhone application icons.

Made by Brazilian firm Meninos, the coasters are constructed from sturdy, medium-density fiber plywood and are coated in vinyl.  They're are roughly 3 1/2 inches square, washable, and feature non-skid, rubber bottoms.

Many of the most popular iPhone icons are included:

  • Maps and Compass
  • Camera and Photo Albums
  • YouTube and iPod

The iPhone coasters sell for $59.99 plus shipping. Arrange them like your phone, or pin them on the wall.  Either way, they'll be a functional conversation piece for your home, or the home of a friend.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 08, 2010 | Comments (0)

Pending Home Sales Drag In January, But Should Rebound For Spring

Pending Home Sales (July 2008-Jan 2010)

Fewer homes went under contract in January as the housing market continues to limp through the winter months.

According to the National Association of Realtors®, the Pending Home Sales Index fell to its lowest level in 3 quarters this January. By contrast, in October 2009, the index had touched a 3-year high.

The Pending Home Sales Index measures the number of homes that have gone under contract to sell, but have yet to close nationwide. It's compiled using data from more than 100 regional listing services and 60-plus brokerages  -- the sample set encompasses 20 percent of all home resales in a given month.

Economists have come to rely on the Pending Home Sales Index because of its high correlation to actual home sales. 80% of all home marked "pending" close within 60 days. Many of the rest close within 120.

Therefore, when we see Pending Home Sales show weakness like it did in January, we can infer that home resales will remain weak through the spring.

But will they really?

  1. Fewer sales should drag down home prices, bringing more buyers into the market
  2. Mortgage rates are still very low, but are poised to rise in just a few weeks
  3. The home buyer tax credit requires buyers to be in contract by April 30, 2010

In other words, there's a confluence of factors that could lead to a rush of sales around the country over the next two months, reversing the housing market's recent momentum.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 05, 2010 | Comments (0)

Tying Friday's Jobs Report To Rising Mortgage Rates

Unemployment Rate 2008-2010Conforming and FHA mortgage rates have improved over the last 10 days, but that could all change this Friday with the release of February's Non-Farm Payrolls report.

Non-Farm Payrolls is the official name of the government's monthly jobs report and, given the fragile state of the U.S. economy, Wall Street will be watching it closely.

Mortgage rates could spike come Friday morning.

Jobs are an important part of the nation's recovery. Among other concerns, unemployed Americans don't spend as much money on goods and services, and are more likely to default on a mortgage. This retards economic growth and increases the potential for foreclosures.

When jobs numbers worsen, therefore, it follows that economic projections worsen, too.

Poor employment figures draw money away from the stock markets and into less-risky bond markets, including mortgage-backed bonds.  Mortgage rates improve as a result. Conversely, when jobs numbers improve, stock markets gain and bond markets worsen.

Analysts expect that a net 30,000 jobs were lost in February.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics press release hits at 8:30 A.M. ET, roughly an hour before Friday's mortgage pricing will be available to consumers. If you're worried about rates rising on the heels of a strong jobs report, therefore, be sure to get your rate lock in today instead. Once Friday gets here, it may be too late.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 04, 2010 | Comments (0)

How To Properly Screen A Prospective Tenant

According to the the National Association of Realtors®, "distressed homes" represented nearly 2 of every fifth home sold in January 2010.  Clearly, real estate investors are taking advantage of good deals on cheap property.  But there's risk involved.

This NBC Today Show interview first ran in March 2009, featuring real estate expert Barbara Corcoran. Despite its age, the message remains relevant. Today may be a terrific time to buy a bank-owned home -- just make sure you do your research first.  There's plenty of ways for investors to get burned.

Some of the tips in the video include:

  • Buy in your own backyard
  • Start small, then build to a bigger portfolio
  • Watch receipts -- rent rolls don't matter if tenants aren't paying rent

Corcoran also gives pointers on how to evaluate a prospective tenant.

Foreclosures should represent a large number of 2010's total home sales and will offer interesting opportunities to bona fide real estate investors. Before you jump in, make sure to watch the video. The rents you save may be your own.

Remember, the stats and the data are from 12 months ago, but the advice stays meaningful.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 03, 2010 | Comments (0)

Existing Home Sales Drop Again In January But Stay On The Trendline

Existing Home Sales Jan 2009-Jan 2010The winter months have not been kind to home sales.

After plunging 17 percent in December, Existing Home Sales fell by an additional 7 percent in January, according to the National Association of Realtors®. An "existing home" is a home resold by a previous owner (i.e. not new construction).

In looking at the annualized, adjusted Existing Home Sales data, we find:

  1. Sales volume is at its lowest levels since June 2009
  2. Sales volume fell below its 12-month rolling average
  3. Home supplies are at a 5-month high

These are similar findings to the New Home Sales data issued by the government last week.  That report put new home sales at a 40-year low and showed new homes supplies higher by an entire month.

But don't think housing rebound has halted! Home sales are cyclical and there are outside forces on today's market.

For one, the market is still feeling the after-effects of the original First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit. Sales spiked in the months leading up to the original November 2009 expiration date. A pull-back is natural and expected.

Looking at the long-term trend, Existing Home Sales volume appears right in line.

Furthermore, weather across much of the U.S. was awful in January. That, too, can impede home sales as homes are neither shown nor negotiated when weather is majorly inclement.

Anecdotal evidence is showing sales activity higher through February and into March. And, although it's unlikely we'll see a spike through April like we did last November, buy-side demand for homes should remain strong. The good news of the sagging sales reports is that today's buyers may find home prices are lower and sellers are more willing to negotiate.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 02, 2010 | Comments (0)

Cool Tools : Color This! Shows How Paints And Colors Will Make A Room Look Good

Color swatches for paintVisualizing a home in different colors can take a good eye and strong imagination -- especially when you're house-hunting and the home's effects are of someone else.

Yet, we wonder:

  • What would the bedroom look like in blue?
  • How would the kitchen look in yellow?
  • What if the foyer wall was accented in red?

At the Better Homes and Gardens website, you can answer those questions and see the results for yourself.  Using the Color This! tool, website visitors can mix-and-match swatch colors, then apply them to a room's walls, floors, trim, cabinets and accessories.

Don't just get a mental picture of a room -- get an actual picture.

The Better Homes and Gardens site requires a basic, non-intrusive site registration to use the Color This! product suite.  It's also available for home exteriors and window treatments, too.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on March 01, 2010 | Comments (0)

The Home Price Index Shows Some Regions Up, Some Regions Down

Monthly changes in Home Price Index Since April 2007

Earlier this week, the private-sector Case-Shiller Index showed home prices slightly lower between November and December.  Thursday, the public-sector Home Price Index showed the same.

Publishing on a 2-month lag, the Federal Home Finance Agency said home prices fell by 1.6 percent nationally in December.  And that's an average, of course.  Some regions performed well in December as compared to November, others didn't.

  • Values in the Middle Atlantic states improved slightly
  • Values in New England were essentially unchanged
  • Values in the Mountain states sagged, down 3.5%

These aren't just footnotes. They're an important piece toward understanding what national real estate statistics really mean. In short, "national statistics" are just a compilation of a bunch of local statistics.

For example, if we dig deeper into the FHFA Home Price Index 70-page report, we find that cities like Terre Haute, IN, Buffalo, NY, and Amarillo, TX posted year-over-year home price gains. You won't see that in a "national" report.

Furthermore, it's a sure bet that those same cities, you could find neighborhoods that are thriving, and others that are not.  Just because the city shows higher home values overall, it won't necessarily be the case for every home in the city.

Every street in every neighborhood of every town in America has its own "local real estate market" and, in the end, that's what should be most important to today's buyers and sellers.  National data helps identify trends and shape government policy but, to the layperson, it's somewhat irrelevant.

So, when you need to know whether your home is gaining or losing value, you can't look at the national data.  You have to look at your block -- what's selling and not selling -- and start your valuations from there.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 26, 2010 | Comments (0)

As The Supply Of New Homes Grows, So Does The Opportunity For A "Good Deal"

New Homes Supply Jan 2009-Jan 2010

The housing recovery showed particular weakness in the New Homes Sales category last month -- good news for homebuyers around the country.

A "new home" is a home for which there's no previous owner.

New Home Sales fell 11 percent from the month prior and posted the fewest units sold in a month since 1963 -- the year the government first started tracking New Home Sales data.

Right now, there are roughly 234,000 new homes for sale nationwide and, at the current sales pace, it would take 9.1 months to sell them all. This is nearly 2 months longer than at October 2009's pace.

The reasons for the spike in supply are varied:

  • The original home buyer tax credit expired in November
  • Weather conditions were awful in most of the country in January
  • Weak employment and consumer confidence continue to hinder big ticket sales

Now, these might be less-than-optimal developments for the economy as a whole, but for buyers of new homes, it's a welcome turn of events. Home prices are based on supply and demand, after all.

As a result, this season's home buyers may be treated to "free" upgrades from home builders, plus seller concessions and lower sales prices overall.

It's all a matter of timing, of course.  New Home Sales reports on a 1-month lag so it's not necessarily reflective of the current, post-Super Bowl home buying season.  And from market to market, sales activity varies.

That said, mortgage rates remain low, home prices are steady, and the federal tax credit gives two more months to go under contract. It's a favorable time to buy a new home.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 25, 2010 | Comments (0)

December 2009 Case-Shiller Data Shows Battered Markets In Bona Fide Recovery

Case-Shiller Monthly Change Nov 2009-Dec 2009

Using data compiled in December, Standard & Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.

According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is "in better shape than it was this time last year", but some of the summer's momentum has been lost. 15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.

Meanwhile, it's interesting to note the 5 markets that didn't decline -- Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego.  Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke.  Now, they're leading the pack in price recovery.

 

For some real estate investors, that's a positive signal.  But we also have to consider the Case-Shiller Index's flaws because they're big ones.

As examples:

 

  1. Case-Shiller data is reported on a 2-month lag
  2. The Case-Shiller sample set includes just 20 U.S. cities
  3. There's no "national real estate market" -- real estate is local

That said, the Case-Shiller Index is still important. As the most widely-used private sector housing index, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader housing trends and many people believe housing is a key element in the economic recovery.

If the markets that led the housing decline will lead the housing resurgence, December's data shows that full recovery is right around the corner.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 24, 2010 | Comments (0)

How You Can Get The Most Accurate, Real-Time Mortgage Rate Quotes Available

Mortgage rates are expired before they hit the papers

You can't get your mortgage rates from the newspaper. Last week proved it.  Again.

Friday morning, headlines and around the country read that mortgage rates were down 0.04 percent, on average, since the week prior.

A sampling of said headlines includes:

  • US Mortgage Rates Drop For 2nd Straight Week (Reuters)
  • Mortgage Rates On 30-year US Loans Fall To 4.93% (Business Week)
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Falls Farther Below 5% (Marketwatch)

The story behind the headline was sourced from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, am industry-wide mortgage rate poll of more than 100 lenders.  The PMMS has reported mortgage rate data to markets since 1971 and is the largest of its kind.

Unfortunately, rate shoppers can't rely on it.

See, unlike governments and private-sector firms, when consumers are in need mortgage rate information, they need the information delivered in real-time; for making decisions on-the-spot.  Consumers need to know what rates are doing right now.

The Freddie Mac survey can't offer that.

According to Freddie Mac, the survey's methodology is to collect mortgage rates from lenders between Monday and Wednesday and to publish that data Thursday morning.  The survey results are an average of all reported mortgage rates. The problem is that mortgage rates change all day, every day.  The PMMS results are skewed, therefore, by methodology.

And, meanwhile, the issue was compounded last week because mortgage rates shot higher Wednesday afternoon -- after the survey had "closed".  The market deterioration ran into Thursday, too -- again, unable to be captured by Freddie Mac's PMMS.

Although the newspapers reported mortgage rates down last week, they weren't.  Conforming mortgage rates were higher by at least 1/8 percent, or roughly $11 per $100,000 borrowed per month.  In some cases, rates were up by even more.

Newspapers and websites can give a lot of good information, but pricing is far too fluid to rely on a reporter. When you need to know what mortgage rates are doing in real-time, make sure you're talking to a loan officer.  Otherwise, you may just be getting yesterday's news.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 23, 2010 | Comments (0)

How To Replace Your HVAC Air Filter

Replacing a home's heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) air filter is one way to keep the unit's motor running right.  It's an oft-forgotten part of keeping a well-run home. And, it's simple, too.

In the two-minute video above, you'll learn how to replace an air filter from start-to-finish.  There's no need for tools and no need for experience -- the job is about as basic as home maintenance jobs come.

Air filters should be changed at least quarterly but it's okay to change on a monthly rotation, too -- especially if your home has shedding pets, or is under construction or repair. Just remember that not all air filters are created equal.

In this famous video, we see how $0.99 filters can fail to get the job done. Spending $10-15 for a filter that works is a better idea.

Save money by buying in bulk.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 22, 2010 | Comments (0)

Housing Starts Soar To 6-Month High In January... Or Do They?

Housing Starts Feb 2008-Jan 2010

Sometimes, headlines for housing can be misleading and this week gave us a terrific example.

On Wednesday, the Commerce Department released its Housing Starts data for January 2010. The data showed starts at a 6-month high.

A “Housing Start” is a privately-owned home on which construction has started.

Headlines on the Housing Starts story included:

  • U.S. Housing Starts Hit 6-Month High (Reuters)
  • U.S. Economy Receives Home Building Boost (Shepparton)
  • Housing Starts Post Sharp Rebound (ABC)

Based to the headlines, the housing market looks poised for rapid growth through the Spring Market.

The real story, though, is that although Housing Starts increased by close to 3 percent last month, the growth is mostly attributed to buildings with 5 or more units.  This includes apartments and condominiums -- a sector of the housing market that's notoriously volatile.

If we isolate Housing Starts for single-family homes only, we see that starts grew by just 7,000 units last month and have failed to break a range since June 2009.  January's tally is slightly below the 8-month average.

Perhaps more interesting than the Housing Starts, though, is the Commerce Department's accompanying data for Housing Permits. After a 5-month plateau that ended in November, Housing Permits posted multi-year highs for the second straight month.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.

One reason permits are up is that home builders want to capitalize on the federal homebuyer tax credit's dwindling time frame.  Sales are expected to spike in March and April and more homes will come online to deal with that demand.  Home buyers should shop carefully, but with an eye on the clock.

As the tax credit's April 30, 2010 deadline approaches, competition for homes may be fierce.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 19, 2010 | Comments (0)

Mortgage Rates Spike On The Federal Reserve's January 2010 Meeting Minutes

FOMC January 2010 MinutesMortgage markets reeled Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its January 26-27, 2010 meeting. Mortgage rates are now at their highest levels since the start of the year.

The Fed Minutes is a follow-up document, delivered 3 weeks after an official FOMC meeting. It's a companion piece to the post-meeting press release, detailing the debates and discussions that shaped our central bankers' policy decisions.

The Minutes is a terrific look into the Fed's collective mind and, yesterday, Wall Street didn't like what it saw.  Specifically, the report disclosed that:

  1. The Fed plans to break support for mortgage markets after March 31, 2010
  2. Raising the Fed Funds Rate will be a key part of the Fed's strategy to tighten monetary policy
  3. The fundamentals behind consumer spending strengthened modestly

Furthermore, the Fed Minutes said that there is a growing risk of "higher medium-term inflation". Inflation, of course, is awful for mortgage rates.

Overall, the Fed's economic optimism appeared stronger after its January meeting as compared to its December one.  A stronger economy should lead to better job growth and higher home prices throughout 2010.

Mortgage rates were up yesterday but they remain historically low. And many analysts think that after March 31, 2010, rates will rise even more.  Therefore, if you're buying a home in the near-term, or know you'll need a new mortgage, consider moving up your time frame. 

Every 1/8 percent makes a difference in your household budget.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 18, 2010 | Comments (0)

The Best And Worst Cities For Commuters (2010 Edition)

The Best and Worst Work Commutes 2010According to the Census Bureau, 2.8 million people commute to work 90 minutes or more each day, in each direction.

Now, your daily commute may not be as long, but time spent in cars, trains and buses is time away from work and from family. Drive-time can affect a person's Quality of Life and it's one reason why Forbes Magazine's Best and Worst Commutes is worth reviewing.

Measuring travel time, road congestion and travel delays in the 60 largest metropolitan areas, Forbes ranks city commutes from best-to-worst with Salt Lake City topping the list and Tampa-St. Petersburg finishing it.

The Top 5 Commutes, as compiled by Forbes:

  1. Salt Lake City, Utah
  2. Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York
  3. Rochester, New York
  4. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wisconsin
  5. Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York

The bottom 5 are Tampa-St. Petersburg, Detroit, Atlanta, Orlando, and Dallas-Forth Worth.

Long commutes shouldn't deter you from moving to a particular city, but the potential commute should be consideration. Before making an offer on your next home, make a rush-hour commute to work from your potential new neighborhood.  Then imagine doing it every day.

You can read the complete Forbes list of Best and Worst Cities for Commuters on its website.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 17, 2010 | Comments (0)

How To Remove Stickers And Adhesive-Based Price Tags From Just About Anything

Sometimes, price tags just don't want to unstick. No matter how hard you scrub and scrape, tacky residence stays behind. Turns out, getting "the stick" off your stickers isn't so hard when you have the right tools.

In this 2-minute video from eHow.com, you'll learn how to remove stickers and adhesive-based price tags from common household items including:

  • Wooden furniture
  • Glass vases and other glassware
  • Plastic pieces
  • Cardboard boxes

The best part? All the supplies you'll need are already in your home.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 16, 2010 | Comments (0)

How Rising Consumer Sentiment Is Linked To Higher Home Prices

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Aug 2008-Jan 2010Consumer Sentiment has been on the rise since last February and it's something to which home buyers should pay attention. 

The affordability of your next home may hinge on consumer confidence.

As the economy recovers from a near-the-brink recession, many of the elements of a full recovery are in place.  Business investment is returning, household spending is expanding, and financial systems are gaining strength. 

Consumer confidence is at a 2-year high.

What's missing from the recovery, though, is jobs growth.  Another net 20,000 jobs were lost in January. Data like that hinders economic growth.

That said, twenty-thousand jobs lost is a much better figure than the several hundred thousand that were shed per month throughout early-2009, but it's still a net negative number.  Not only does household income drop when Americans lose jobs but so does the average American's confidence in his or her own economic future.

This is one reason why jobs growth is so closely watched by Wall Street -- jobs are linked to higher confidence levels which, in turn, is believed to spur consumer spending.

Consumer spending represents 70% of the U.S. economy.

As confidence rises, it could be good news for the economy, but bad news for home buyers. More spending expands the economy and, all things equal, that leads mortgage rates higher. 

Same for home prices. More confidence means more buyers which, in turn, squeezes the supply-and-demand curve in favor of sellers.

Later this morning, the University of Michigan will release its February Consumer Sentiment survey. If the reading is higher-than-expected, prepare for mortgage rates to rise and home affordability to worsen.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 12, 2010 | Comments (0)

In Pictures: The Severity Of The Foreclosure Crisis Depends On Where You Live

Foreclosures concentrate on 4 statesForeclosures stories dominate the national housing news. It seems at least one foreclosure-related story makes its way to the front page or the nightly news every week.

But for as much as the foreclosure filing statistics can be astounding -- over 300,000 homes were served last month alone -- the prevalence of foreclosures depends on where you live.

As reported by RealtyTrac, just 4 states accounted for more than half of the country's foreclosure-related activity last month.

  • California : 22.7 percent of all activity
  • Florida : 14.9 percent of all activity
  • Arizona : 6.7 percent of all activity
  • Illinois : 5.7 percent of all activity

The other 46 states (and Washington D.C.) claimed the remaining 49.9%.

However, just because foreclosures are concentrated geographically, that doesn't make them less important to homebuyers around the country.  There's been more than 1.4 million foreclosure filings in the last 12 months and that's a figure that can't be ignored.

Distressed properties now play a role in one-third of all home resales.

Therefore, if you're in the market for a foreclosed home, here's a few things to keep in mind.

  1. Properties are usually sold "as-is" and may not be up to living standards. Be sure to physically inspect the home before buying it.
  2. Buying a home from a bank is rarely as streamlined as buying from an individual homeowner. Be prepared for delays and long closings.
  3. Foreclosures aren't always listed for sale publicly. Ask your real estate agent how to access the complete foreclosure inventory.

 

In order to use the federal homebuyer tax credit, you must be under contract for a home by April 30, 2010 and closed by June 30, 2010.  That doesn't leave much time to find a bank-owned home and make it to closing.  If you're serious about buying foreclosures, it's probably best to start your search soon.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 11, 2010 | Comments (0)

Separating FHA Fact From Fiction : Mortgage Insurance Premiums

FHA asks Congress to raise Monthly MIPThe mortgage lending landscape changes a lot.  Rates and guidelines are in constant flux, and it creates preparedness challenges for buyers that aren't paying in cash.

The loan you get today won't always be the loan you get tomorrow.

Because of how frequently bank rules are changing, it can be hard for laypersons to distinguish between mortgage fact and fiction of "what's coming next".

Recently, we saw this with respect to FHA home loans.

January 20, 2010, the FHA issued a press release with new lending guidelines.  Specifically, it announced 3 changes that will be effective starting April 5, 2010:

  1. Upfront mortgage insurance premiums increase from 1.75% to 2.25%
  2. Allowable seller concession reduced from 6% to 3%
  3. FICO scores of 580 or lower are subject to a minimum 10% downpayment

But, also in its official statement, the FHA announced it would ask Congress for permission to raise monthly mortgage insurance premiums.  This is where the rumors started.

Nestled on page 348 of the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2011, in a section titled Special Topics, there is a 1-paragraph notation that details the FHA's petition. 

  1. Raise monthly premiums by roughly 0.30%, or $25 per $100,000 borrowed per month
  2. Lower upfront mortgage insurance premiums by 1.25%, or $1,250 per $100,000 borrowed at closing

For now, the request is neither approved nor acknowledged by Congress. It's merely a request. And in the event that Congress does approves it, that doesn't mean that FHA has to stand by its initial projections.

Truth is, about the only thing we know about the future of FHA lending is that, come April 5, 2010, borrowing money is going to be tougher, and mortgage expensive. These are the facts as we know them today.

Homebuyers should plan accordingly.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 10, 2010 | Comments (0)

Mortgage Approvals Are Getting More And More Scarce

Federal Reserve Quarterly Lending Survey 2007-2009

The economy's improving but lending standards are not. Nationally, banks are making mortgage approvals harder to come by.

Underwriting guidelines are tightening.

The data comes from the Federal Reserve's quarterly survey to its member banks.  The Fed asks senior bank loan officers around the country to report on "prime" residential mortgage guidelines over the most recent 3 months and whether they've tightened.

For the period October-December 2009:

  • Roughly 1 in 4 banks said guidelines tightened
  • Roughly 3 in 4 banks said guidelines were "basically unchanged"

Just 2 of 53 banks said its guidelines had loosened.

Combine the Fed's survey with recent underwriting updates from the FHA and generally tougher standards for conventional loans and it's clear that lenders are much more cautious about their loans than they were, say, in 2007.

Today's home buyers and would-be refinancers face a bevy of new borrowing hurdles including:

  • Higher minimum FICO scores
  • Larger downpayment requirements for purchases
  • Larger equity positions for refinances
  • Lower debt-to-income ratios

So, if you're on the fence about whether now is a good time to buy a home, or make that refi, consider acting sooner rather than later.  It doesn't necessarily matter that mortgage rates are low, or that there's an up-to-$8,000 home purchase tax credit for households that qualify.  With each passing quarter, fewer and fewer applicants are eligible to take advantage.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 09, 2010 | Comments (0)

Household Safety Tips : Space Heaters

For spot and room heating, homeowners often turn to portable space heaters.  Often, it's cheaper and faster to heat a small space with a heater than it is to raise the entire home's temperature by a few degrees.

But space heaters can be dangerous.

According to the National Fire Protection Association, space heaters were responsible for a large percentage of overall fire-related damages in 2006, including:

  • 43% of home heating-related injuries
  • 51% of home heating-related property damage
  • 73% of home heating-related civilian deaths

Clearly, as compared to central heating systems and fireplaces, electric space heaters cause a disproportionate amount of in-home damage.  This is why it's important to be safe when using them.

So, here's some basic space heater tips to follow at home:

  • Never place anything flammable within three feet away of a space heater
  • Never use an extension cord on a space heater
  • Turn space heaters off when leaving a room or going to bed

Furthermore, make sure your space heater bears the label of a recognized testing laboratory such as Underwriters Laboratory.

Remember to test your smoke detectors monthly.

Source
Heating Safety Tips
National Fire Protection Agency

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 08, 2010 | Comments (0)

7 Ways To Protect Your Credit Score For Better Mortgage Rates

As mortgage lenders tighten approval standards nationwide, the importance of a good credit score is rising.  Credit scores not only make the difference between a mortgage approval and mortgage turn-down, but they also play a large role in determining your actual mortgage note rate.

In the 3-minute piece, the NBC Today Show talks about 7 ways that homebuyers ruin their credit -- often by accident.  Some of the highlighted mistakes include:

  • Closing open credit cards
  • Making appliance buys on credit prior to closing
  • Asking creditors to lower credit balances prior to closing

In general, a 740 FICO will insulate a borrower from the higher costs and/or rates associated with low credit scores.  Below 740, though, every 20 points adds to the damage.  Watch the video and apply what you can to your own situation.  The more you know, the more you can save.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 05, 2010 | Comments (0)

The January 2010 Jobs Report May Lead Mortgage Rates And Home Prices Higher

Unemployment Rate 2007-2009On the first Friday of every month, the U.S. government releases its Non-Farm Payrolls data from the month prior. The data is more commonly known as "the jobs report" and it swings a big stick on Wall Street.

Especially now -- many analysts believe job growth is tightly linked to the future of the U.S. economy.

Therefore, when January's jobs report hits the wires at 8:45 AM ET tomorrow, home buyers would do well to pay attention. A net job reading that is much higher (or lower) than Wall Street's expectations can make a serious change in home affordability.

Wall Street expects that the economy added 13,000 jobs last month.  It would mark the second time in 3 months that the jobs report showed a net monthly gain.

In November 2008, the economy added 4,000.

Jobs matter to the economy for a lot of reasons, but one of the biggest is that when Americans are working, Americans are buying and consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of the economy.

Job growth spurs the economy and draws money to the stock market. Unfortunately for rate shoppers, that kind of stock market growth happens at the expense of the bond market which is where mortgage rates are made.

Good jobs data usually means higher mortgage rates.

Also, job growth can lead to higher home prices. This is because working homeowners are less likely to default on a mortgage versus non-working homeowners.  In this way, job growth helps hold foreclosures to a minimum which, in turn, suppresses the housing supply.

Less supply means higher prices for home buyers.

Mortgage rates are idling this morning in advance of tomorrow's data.  If you're shopping for a mortgage rate, the prudent play may be to lock your rate before the jobs data is released.  A jobs figure that's higher than the 13,000 expected could cause rate to rise sharply.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 04, 2010 | Comments (0)

Pending Home Sales Predicts A Stronger Spring Market

Pending Home Sales (June 2008-Dec 2009)The Pending Home Sales Index rose slightly in December, climbing 1 percent from November.

A Pending Home Sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but not yet sold. It's a figure compiled by the National Association of Realtors® using sales data from over 100 regional listing services and more than 60 large brokerages around the country.

Because each pending sale is a true measure of sales activity, the Pending Home Sales Index is purported to be the most reliable forward-looking indicator for housing. 

Recent data supports this hypothesis.

After Pending Home Sales plunged 16 percent in November, Existing Home Sales fell by 17 percent in December.  Based on the most recent Pending Sales Index, therefore, we can expect January's closed sales to be similarly level.

For home buyers , this is all a bit of good news. Home prices are based on the supply-and-demand balance that exists between buyers and sellers.  When buyers outnumber sellers, like they did through most of 2009, home supplies dip and, in fact, the national home inventory nearly halved during the 12 months ending November 2009.

With fewer homes for sale, multiple-offer situations were almost commonplace and home values rose as result.

Activity has since slowed, however, and fewer buyers are in today's market. The supply-and-demand equation has shifted back some. In December, home supplies rose for the first time in 7 months and January will likely show the same.

The net result: Home buyers have more homes from which to choose and that can create negotiation leverage for better prices and better concessions.

With mortgage rates still low and a looming deadline on the homebuyer's tax credit, market activity should be strong between now and April.   Take your time and bid right. And when you're ready, be ready. The best deals likely won't last.

 

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 03, 2010 | Comments (0)

Simple Real Estate Definitions : Short Sale

Short Sale DefinitionA "Short Sale" is when a home seller sells his home for a lesser amount than what is owed on his mortgage, and the mortgage lender agrees to accept the lesser amount in lieu of a full payoff.

By way of example, a Short Sale may be appropriate for a home seller whose mortgage balance is $250,000 but whose home wouldn't sell for more than $220,000.  Rather than pay the $30,000 difference to the lender at the time of sale, the seller enters into an agreement with the lender by which all sale proceeds are paid to the bank and the deficient balance is forgiven.

Short Sales are a preferable alternative to foreclosure but the process still harms both parties. For one, the seller is penalized with a derogatory tradeline on credit for not fulfilling a mortgage obligation. And, two, the lender is forced to take a loss on a mortgage loan.  Versus an executed foreclosure, however, Short Sale damages are relatively limited on both sides.

For this reason, Short Sales are sometimes considered "the economical alternative" to default.

The process of getting a Short Sale approved varies from lender-to-lender and can be time-intensive. Home sellers should not go at it alone -- speaking with a real estate agent about the proper protocol is usually the best place to start.  And sellers should be aware of how a Short Sale on their credit can impact future borrowing.

Current Fannie Mae guidelines prevent short-selling homeowners from obtaining new mortgage financing for a period of 2 years.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 02, 2010 | Comments (0)

Conserve More Energy With Motion-Sensored Light Switches

Black & Decker Lights Off AutoSwitchCourtesy of Black & Decker, energy-conscious homeowners now have another way to conserve natural resources.

Introducing the Lights Out Autoswitch, a 135-degree, motion-detecting device that turns the lights on when people enter a room, and subsequently turns them off after everyone has left.  The timer can be set at 1 minute, 5 minutes, 15 minutes, or 30 minutes. 

Use it in bedrooms, home offices, children's playrooms and anywhere else a person may leave the lights on.

Best of all, the device is easy to install.

The Lights Out Autoswitch runs on 3 AA batteries and slips right over an existing toggle light switch. There's no electrical wiring or assembly required and the product ships with a 2-year warranty.

The Lights Autoswitch is available on Amazon.com for $23.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on February 01, 2010 | Comments (0)

Home Values Rose In November 2009 By Another 0.7 Percent

Home Price Index April 2007 to November 2009

Reporting on a two-month lag, the government said home values rose 0.7 percent in November. 

National home prices are at their highest point since February 2009.

But before we look too much into the FHFA's Home Price Index, it's important that we're cognizant of its shortcomings; the most important of which is its lack of real-time reporting.

According to the National Association of Realtors™, 80% of purchases close within 60 days. As a result, because of its two-month delay, the Home Price Index report actually trails today's market data by an entire sales cycle.

This is one reason why home values appear to be rising even while new data shows that both Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales fell flat last month.  The home valuation report is using data from November; the sales reports are using data from December.

The Home Price Index is a trailing indicator and next month, as the Spring Market gets underway, the government will be reporting data from the holidays.

The same is true for the Case-Shiller Index. It, too, operates on a 2-month lag.

All of that said, however, long-term trends do matter in housing and the Home Price Index has shown consistent improvement over the last 10 months.  In many markets, home sales are up, home supplies are down, and values have increased.  This trend should continue into the early part of 2010, at least.

If you're wondering whether now is a good time to buy a home , consider low prices, cheap mortgages and an available tax credit as three good incentives.  By May, none of them will likely be available.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 29, 2010 | Comments (0)

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (January 27, 2010 Edition)

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishThe Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy “has continued to strengthen”, that the jobs markets is getting better, and that financial markets are supportive of growth.

There was no mention of the housing market's strength.  The last 3 statements from the Fed included that specific verbiage.

It’s the fifth straight statement in which the Fed spoke about the economy with optimism.  This should signal to markets that 2008-2009 recession is over and that economic growth is returning to U.S. economy.

The economy isn’t without threats, however, and the Fed identified several in its press release, including:

  1. Credit remains tight for consumers
  2. Businesses are reluctant to hire new workers
  3. Housing wealth is down

The message’s overall tone, however, remained positive and inflation appears is still within tolerance.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period” and to wind down its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage market by March 31, 2010.  This is noteworthy because Fed insiders estimate that the bond-buying program suppressed mortgage rates by 1 percent through 2009.

Mortgage market reaction to the Fed press release is, in general, negative. Mortgage rates are rising this afternoon.

The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is March 16, 2010.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 27, 2010 | Comments (0)

A Rate-Locking Strategy Ahead Of The Fed's Meeting Today

Fed Funds Rate (Jan 2007 - Jan 2010)The Federal Open Market Committee ends a scheduled, 2-day meeting today in Washington. It's the first of 8 scheduled meetings for the policy-setting group in 2010.

The group adjourns at 2:15 PM ET.

As is customary, upon adjournment, the Fed will issue a press release to the markets recapping its views of the country's current economic condition, and the outlook for the near-term future.

The post-meeting statements from the Fed are brief but comprehensive. And Wall Street eats them up.  Every word, sentence and phrase is carefully dissected in the hope of gaining an investment edge over other active traders.

It's for this reason that mortgage rates tend to be jittery on days the FOMC adjourns. Wall Street is frantically re-balancing its bets.

Today should be no different.

The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent — the lowest it's been in history.  However, it's what the Fed says Wednesday that will matter more than what it does.

After the Fed's last meeting in December, it made several observations:

  1. The jobs market is getting "less worse"
  2. The housing sector is making improvements
  3. Financial markets are stabilizing further

The economy is gradually improving, the Fed told us, but there are still risks to the economy ahead.  Furthermore, inflation remains in check.

As compared to December's press release, today’s FOMC statement will be closely watched. If the Fed changes its verbiage in any way that alludes to strong growth and/or inflation in 2010, expect mortgage rates to rise as Wall Street moves its money from bonds to stocks.

Conversely, reference to slower growth in 2010 should lead rates lower.

We can't know what the Fed will say so if you’re floating a mortgage rate right now or wondering whether the time is right to lock, the safe approach would be to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. After that, what happens to rates is anyone's guess.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 27, 2010 | Comments (0)

Existing Home Sales Plummet In December, But It Was Expected

Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December's Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low.

Don't be alarmed, though. The plunge was expected. And not just because Pending Home Sales cratered last month.

When November's Existing Home Sales surged, it was clear to observers that an expiring $8,000 federal tax credit was the catalyst. At the time, the tax program was slated to expire November 30 and the looming deadline pushed a lot of would-be buyers from a December time frame into November.

The expiration date has a cannibalizing effect on December's sales figures. It was only later that Congress extended the tax credit to June 30, 2010.

So, with home sales plunging in December, it's no surprise that home supplies rose for the first time in 9 months.  Home Supply is calculating by dividing the number of homes for sale by the current sales pace.

The national housing supply now rests at 7.2 months.

Despite December's Existing Home Sales report appearing shaky, it's actually terrific new for home buyers.

See, for the past few months, as housing has been improving, sellers nationwide have been bombarded by messages of "hot markets" and rising home prices by the media.  Psychologically, a seller is more likely to hold firm on price if he believes the housing market is improving and now December's data is deflating that argument.

This is why we say there's always two sides to a housing story -- the buyers' side and the sellers' side. And, usually, what's good for one party is bad for the other. It's what we're seeing now.

Because of soft data like December's Existing Home Sales, buyers may retake some negotiation leverage that's been lost since Spring 2009, helping to improve home affordability and, perhaps, spur more sales.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 26, 2010 | Comments (0)

The Right Way To Make Your Bed When Your Home Is Listed For Sale

Well-made beds aren't just for comfort -- they're for presentation, too. Especially when you're selling your home.  A pristine bed conveys an image of cleanliness and order to potential home buyers and that can help you get more of your asking price at the point of negotiation.

When homeowners don't take the time to make a bed, buyers wonder what else around the home is getting neglected.

And there's a proper way to make a bed, too.

In this 15-step video from Howcast, you'll learn how to start with a stripped down mattress, add bedding, pillows and a blanket, and end with the hotel-quality look that today's home buyers expect.  The alternative is to leave a bed sloppy, reducing your home's overall appeal.

To make a bed the right way takes less than 2 minutes. When your home is listed for sale, make making the bed a part of your daily routine.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 25, 2010 | Comments (0)

Housing Permits Spike For The Second Straight Month

Housing Starts Jan 2008-Dec 2009A "Housing Start" is a privately-owned home on which construction has started. It's an important gauge of housing health because it tracks new housing stock nationwide.

In December 2009, starts fell by nearly 7 percent.

The news is mildly disappointing but not too bad. The likely cause for the Housing Starts drop is December's rough weather conditions. It's tough to break ground when Mother Nature won't coordinate and last month was especially hazardous in a lot of parts of the country.

More cheery, however, is that for the second straight month, Housing Permits exploded. 

A housing permit is an certification from local government that authorizes construction. After posting a 7 percent gain in November, permits rose by another 8 percent in December.

It's a signal that housing is, indeed, in recovery -- despite the falling number of actual starts. More permits mean that builders plan to bring more homes on the market for what's expected to be a very busy spring home-shopping season.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.  Therefore, Housing Starts should start rising soon anyway.

For home buyers, the news couldn't be better. 

With more homes coming online, competition among home sellers should increase, and that will suppress the rise in home prices nationwide. 

It's basic economics.  When home supplies grow faster than home demand, prices fall.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 22, 2010 | Comments (0)

Spring 2010 FHA Guidelines Make Borrowing Tougher And More Expensive

New FHA guidelinesSecuring an FHA mortgage is about to get more expensive.

In a statement issued Wednesday, the Federal Housing Authority outlined policy changes to its mortgage assistance program. The shift is meant to both reduce the government group's portfolio risk while strengthening its overall financials.

For consumers, the changes mean higher costs.

As listed in the official announcement, there are 3 major guideline updates for the FHA:

  1. Upfront mortgage insurance premiums are increasing to 2.25% from 1.75%
  2. Minimum downpayments for applicants with sub-580 FICOs are rising to 10 percent
  3. Seller concessions are being limited to 3%, down from today's allowable 6%

Furthermore, the FHA has appealed to Congress to raise an FHA borrowers' monthly mortgage insurance premiums.

To read the FHA's statement, it's clear what the group is trying to balance.  On one side, the FHA wants to provide affordable financing to families that need it. That's its mission statement. On the other side, though, the FHA must manage the risk that comes with insuring lesser-quality loans.

To that end, the FHA is stepping up its enforcement of "bad lenders" in hopes of stopping problems where they start.

Also in its new policies, the FHA is introducing a "termination clause". If banks or loan officers that produce more than their fair share of bad loans, they lose their right to originate FHA mortgages.

As a result, homebuyers should expect tougher FHA underwriting in 2010. Not because the FHA says so, necessarily, but because banks don't want to do "bad loans".  Lenders are incented to turn down at-risk applicants and, already, we're seeing examples of this. Despite FHA allowing 580 FICOs and lower, many banks have made 620 their minimum.

Some have other guideline overlays, too.

The FHA's new guidelines don't go into effect until spring.  So, between now and then, the old guidelines will apply.  Therefore, if you know you're going to need an FHA home loan in the next few months, consider moving up your time-frame.

If nothing else, you'll save some money at closing.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 21, 2010 | Comments (0)

There's 100 Days Left To Claim The Homebuyer Tax Credit

100 days remain for the Home Buyer Tax Credit ExpirationNovember 6, 2009, Congress voted to extend and expand the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program.  There's 100 days left to claim it.

The expiration date of the up-to-$8,000 tax credit has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers to be under contract for a home no later than April 30, 2010, and to be closed no later than June 30, 2010.

In addition, "move-up" buyers were also added to the program's eligibility list meaning you don't have to be a first-time home buyer to be eligible for the tax credit.  If you've lived in your home for 5 of the last 8 years, you meet the IRS requirements.

Move-up buyers are capped at a total tax credit of $6,500.

The tax credit's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

  • You can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  • You can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
  • You can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  • All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however. 

First, the subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000. Homes sold for more than $800,000 are ineligible.  And, also, household income thresholds have been raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filers.

And lastly, don't forget that the program is a true tax credit -- not a deduction.  This means that a tax filer who's eligible for the full $8,00 credit and whose "normal" tax liability totals $5,000 would receive a $3,000 refund from the U.S. Treasury at tax time.

The complete list of qualifying criteria is posted on the IRS website.  Review it with a tax professional to determine your eligibility.  Then mark your calendar for April 30, 2010.

There's just 100 days to go.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 20, 2010 | Comments (0)

Interesting Homes : The Skinniest Home In The City Sells For $2.1 Million

Skinny car is wider than a houseThe next time you think you've outgrown your home, imagine what life would be like in New York City's "skinniest home". It's barely wider than your wingspan.

In Greenwich Village, there's a single-family, 3-story residence in which the interior living space width measures just 8 1/2-feet. By way of reference, that's 4 inches more narrow than the Smart Fortwo electric automobile.

Even the home's USPS street address hints at its size.  Built on an alleyway, nestled between 75 Bedford Street and 77 Bedford Street, the diminutive home is officially known as 75 1/2 Bedford.

It just sold for $2.1 million

Meanwhile, big price tags for little homes is nothing new. In 2008, the "Little House" in Toronto sold for the equivalent of $511 per square foot.

(Image courtesy: Wikipedia)

 

 

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 19, 2010 | Comments (0)

Retail Sales Dropped In December And Now So Are Mortgage Rates

Retail Sales December 2009

Mortgage rates are dropping this morning on weaker-than-expected Retail Sales data from December. Lower rates means more bang for your home-buying buck.

Excluding motor vehicles and parts, December's "ex-auto" sales receipts were down roughly $500 million from November. Analysts had expected receipts to grow.

The relevance of Retail Sales to home affordability isn't obvious, but it's definitely logical.

Retail Sales is directly related to consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for the majority of the U.S. economy. When consumer spending slows, the economy often does, too. It leads investors to seek out "safe" investments.

It's the reason why stock markets often drop on weak economic data -- stocks are among the riskiest investment classes available.

Conversely, the best place to find safety is in the market of government-backed bonds.  This world includes products like U.S. Treasuries and many of the mortgage-backed bonds that help set mortgage rates.  Weak economic data puts mortgage bonds in demand.

For rate shopper, this is good news.  More demand for mortgage bonds causes mortgage rates to fall.  Mortgage rates are lower this morning because Wall Street is shedding some risk.

December's Retail Sales report closes out a year of generally-weak data.  2009 marks just the second time that Retail Sales fell year-over-year since the government started tracking it 40 years ago.  The other year was 2008.

For home buyers around the country, though, today may represent an opportune time to lock a mortgage rate.  Housing data is still improving and other economic indicators are showing strength.  Soon, Wall Street will shift from a "safe" mentality and move toward risk.

When it does, mortgage rates will rise.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 14, 2010 | Comments (0)

RealtyTrac's 2009 Foreclosure Report Gives Reason For Optimism

Foreclosure deltas for the ten most foreclosure-heavy states of 2009

Like real estate, it appears that foreclosure activity is a local phenomenon, too.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of all foreclosure-related activity in 2009 came from just 4 states:

  1. California
  2. Florida
  3. Arizona
  4. Illinois

More than 1.4 million filings made in 2009 are attributed to the above states. Furthermore, each ranks in the Top 10 for 2009 Foreclosures Per Capita.

The other states are Nevada, Utah, Georgia, Idaho, Michigan and Colorado.

Versus 2008, foreclosures are up 21 percent nationwide and that's a big number, but a deeper look at RealtyTrac's annual reports reveals a more positive undertone on the housing market.

  1. 40 states fell below the national Foreclosures Per Capita average in 2009
  2. Foreclosure activity fell on an annual basis in 10 states as compared to 2008

Foreclosures are still prevalent, though, and buying homes in foreclosure continues to be big business.  First-time buyers, move-up buyers, and real estate investors each are bidding aggressively.

Distressed homes account for one-third of home resale activity, according to an industry trade group.

That said, buying foreclosures can be tricky.

First, properties are often sold "as-is" and the cost of repairs may unwind the home's status as a "value buy".  Furthermore, a lender may require specific fixes to be made prior to closing and that, too, costs money.

Second, buying a foreclosed home isn't as streamlined as buying a "normal" home. Closing on a foreclosure can be a 120-day process or longer. A 4-month time-frame may not fit your schedule.

And, third, finding foreclosures can be difficult. Despite the growth in foreclosure search engines, it still takes a good real estate agent to uncover the best homes at the best prices.

Read the complete foreclosure report and take a peek at RealtyTrac's foreclosure heat maps.  If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.

There's still good deals in the foreclosure market -- you just have to know where to find them

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 14, 2010 | Comments (0)

10 Cities For Home Bargains

As the housing market improves across the country, certain cities are emerging as relative bargains.  Some areas, like Miami, were hit hard by the recession, and other areas are buoyed by good school systems and strong labor markets.

In this 5-minute video from The Today Show, 10 cities are highlighted for their home prices.  And they're not "small towns", either. 

Among the featured cities:

  • Miami, Florida
  • Akron, Ohio
  • Tuscon, Arizona
  • Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Trenton, New Jersey

Now, this piece is about finding gems on a national scale.  They exist locally , too.  You just need to know what to look for.

With mortgage rates low and tax credits available, it's not likely that bargains will last.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 13, 2010 | Comments (0)

The Bad Jobs Report Wasn't All Bad -- Mortgage Rates Fell

Unemployment Rate 2007-2009Despite the headlines, it's important to remember that December's jobs report wasn't all bad news. 

Sure, the economy shed 85,000 jobs last month and the Unemployment Rate failed to dip below 10%, but for home buyers and rate shoppers , the news was just fine.

The soft employment data led mortgage rates lower, making homes more affordable for buyers.

There is two sides to every economic coin.

Since early-2008, the U.S workforce has been closely tied to home financing. As the economy slowed and jobs were lost, Wall Streeters pulled money from the risky stock markets and moved it to of the relative safety of bond markets, instead.

Safe haven buying led mortgage bond prices higher which, in turn, caused rates to fall. Mortgage rates fell to 6 all-time lows in 2009. In a related statistic, 4.2 million jobs were lost last year.

And this is why Friday's non-farm payrolls report was so good for buyers.

See, in November, the economy added new jobs for the first time since 2007, housing looked strong, consumer confidence was growing.  The safe haven buying reversed and mortgage rates took off.  Analysts believed the nation's economic turnaround was complete.

But now, after December's jobs report returned to the red, Wall Street is forced to rethink its position. Safe haven buying is back and mortgage rates are lower because of it.

Over the next few months, expect a lot of this back-and-forth action in rates. In general, positive news for the economy will be met with higher mortgage rates and negative economic news will be met with lower mortgage rates.  There will be exceptions, but the general rule should hold.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 12, 2010 | Comments (0)

Throw Out Your "Chip Clips". Get The Banana Seal.

Banana Seal in actionIf you've ever used a plastic Chip Clip and been miffed that your chips went stale anyway, you have to see the Banana Seal.  Its beauty is its simplicity.

Similar to the tongue-in-groove seal created by zip-top bags, the Banana Seal creates an airtight seal on bags of all sizes.  Chips stay crunchy, vegetables stay fresh, and freezer-burned food becomes a problem of the past.

The people of Banana Seal made a promotional video that shows the product in action. It's a little bit over-the-top in "sales mode", but gives some good ideas on how the Banana Seal works.  Aside from the obvious refrigerator, freezer and pantry uses, the video shows how Banana Seal can be used outside of the kitchen, too.

Buy an 18-pack of Banana Seal for less than $20 from Amazon.com.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 11, 2010 | Comments (0)

2010 FHA Loan Limits Released

2010 FHA Loan LimitsFHA home loans are federal assistance mortgages made by lenders, and backed by the government. The FHA doesn't make loans to homeowners -- it insures loans made to homeowners by federally-qualified lenders.

By all accounts, FHA home loans are surging in popularity.

  • 2006, FHA insured 3.3% of all mortgages made
  • Q2 2009, FHA insured 19.2% of all mortgages made

A major reason for the increase can be tied to guidelines.

As compared to its conforming mortgage cousins Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHA home loans have lower downpayment requirements and looser credit standards. The FHA allows downpayments of 3.5 percent and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do not, as an example.

Another reason is that FHA home loans aren't subject to credit score fees the way that conforming mortgages are. Through Fannie or Freddie, a home buyer with a 650 FICO and 20% down is subject to 3% in risk fees.  Via the FHA, the fee is zero, making FHA the better "deal".

The FHA published its 2010 loan limits. There's no change from 2009.

The base 2010 FHA loan limits are:

  • 1-unit : $271,050
  • 2-unit : $347,000
  • 3-unit : $419,400
  • 4-unit : $521,250

We say "base" because these loan limits don't apply to all areas equally.  Higher-cost regions get higher loan limits, based on typical home values. Homes in Los Angeles County, for example, can be FHA-insured up to $729,750 in 2010, and there are special exceptions made for Alaska and Hawaii.

The official FHA announcement included a complete, county-by-county FHA loan limit list. The first spreadsheet shows each county at or above the $729,750 maximum; the second list is everyone else.

If your home's county is on neither list, use the "base" numbers above.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 08, 2010 | Comments (0)

Upon Closer Inspection, The Federal Reserve Isn't 100% Positive About The Future Of The Economy

FOMC December 2009 MinutesBoth mortgage rates and home affordability took a turn for the better Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released its December 15-16, 2009 meeting minutes.

The Fed Minutes is a follow-up piece to the post-FOMC meeting press release. But whereas the press release is succinct and to-the-point, the minutes are lengthy and often meandering.

As a comparison, December's press release contained 535 words. December's minutes had 6,260.

But these "extra words" aren't superfluous. They're actually very important to homeowners. Because the Federal Reserve's internal debates help to shape Wall Street expectations, it doesn't take much for those conversations to have a trickle-down effect on Main Street.

For example, after the December meeting, the Fed said that economic growth is steady, inflation is in check, and an orderly wind-down of mortgage market support was underway. A look at the minutes, though, showed some disconnect.

Some Fed members believe rising commodity prices could lead to stronger-than-expected, and others think that improvement is housing could be "undercut" by a pull-back in government stimulus.

Overall, the Fed appears optimistic about the economy, but not as optimistic as on December 16. Mortgage markets responded favorably to the minutes and mortgage pricing improved.

Although rates remain higher as compared to early-December, pricing has been on a good run this week. If you're under contract for a home or just looking to refinance, now may be a good time to lock.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 07, 2010 | Comments (0)

Home Buyers Get A Green Light : Pending Home Sales Plunge In November

Pending Home Sales November 2009

Just one month after touching a 3-year high, the National Association of Realtors® Pending Home Sales index plunged in November.  A "pending" home sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but has yet to close.

The 16 percent drop marks the first retreat in Pending Home Sales since January of last year.

The weak Pending Home Sales data is an indication that Existing Home Sales data will be soft this month. This is because, historically, 80 percent of Pending Home Sales convert to "closed sales" within 60 days, and most of the rest close within 120.

With Pending Home Sales down, the housing market should lose some of its momentum.  For today's home buyers, this kind of slack can represent a terrific opportunity.

Home prices are a function of supply and demand; of buyers and sellers. When buyers outnumber sellers, competition leads to bidding wars, ultimately, and higher home prices overall.  The imbalance can also create a sense of urgency that results in over-paying for a home.

When buyers are sparse, on the other hand, the psychology of real estate shifts. 

Home sellers are keenly aware of foot traffic and requests for second and third showings. Without buyers, their homes can't sell.  They also note a lack of general feedback from the market.

It's at this point that seller fear can creep in and it becomes a buyer's best time to buy.

Based on November's Pending Home Sales data, it's clear that home sellers are in abundance right now.  Home buyers have leverage.

It may not last.

With mortgage rates easing lower this week, the federal home buyer tax credit still in effect, and the Holiday Season officially over, buyers are getting back to business everywhere. 

Plus, with the tax credit deadline of April 30, 2010 fast approaching, buyer activity should increase over the next 4-6 weeks.

The market looks ripe for a buy but don't rush it.  Take your time and bid right. But when you're ready, be ready -- once the market momentum shifts back to sellers, you might lose all that leverage you built up through the winter.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 06, 2010 | Comments (0)

Looking At The 2010 Predictions For Housing Markets And Mortgage Rates

2010 housing and mortgage predictions are guesses2010 is just a few days old and already the "experts" are making predictions for the year.

Housing calls and mortgage rate predictions run the gamut:

Given how varied their outlooks, it's clear that the professionals have no better view of the future than the amateurs. An expert can make an educated guess, but it's a guess nonetheless.

Last year, Wall Streeters predicted a 25% pullback in home prices. 12 months later, we know prices didn't fall.  Wall Street also predicted higher mortgage rates for 2009. That prediction was fulfilled.

There's a lot of talk on CNBC and elsewhere about what's coming in 2010. Before you take those predictions to the bank, just remember that analysts do a much better job interpreting data from the past than projecting it into the future.

The only thing that's certain right now is that mortgage rates are historically low, the government is giving tax credits to qualified buyers, and there's a lot of good "deals" in housing. Make the most of what's out there today because it will take 12 months for us to look back and know which predictions were right and which were wrong.

Until then, predictions are just opinions and guesses.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 05, 2010 | Comments (0)

How To Make A Self-Watering Plant Container

Self-watering plant containers are the ultimate in laziness or convenience, depending on your perspective. You can buy them on Amazon.com for $26 a piece, or you can watch this 3-minute, step-by-step video from Video Jug and build one all on your own. 

You'll only need a few basic supplies in addition to fresh soil and some tools:

  1. Hydroton (also known as LECA)
  2. A large pot
  3. An irrigation pipe and float from a garden center
  4. Porous membrane

The video is broken down with easy-to-follow instructions. You don't need handyman skills or a green thumb to finish the job. Your end-result will be well-functioning self-watering pots and plants that require less time and attention.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on January 04, 2010 | Comments (0)

Home Prices On The Rise, Says The October Home Price Index Report

Home Price Index April 2007 to October 2009

More positive signals from housing -- home values are still on the rise.

According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, after posting its first quarterly increase since 2007 this past September, the Home Price Index rose by another 0.6 percent in October.

Prices are up in 4 of the last six months.

But before we take the stats to the proverbial bank, it's important that we recognize the Home Price Index for its shortcomings.

  1. HPI only accounts for homes with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
  2. HPI only accounts for re-sold homes -- newly-built homes are excluded
  3. HPI aggregates national data whereas real estate markets are local phenomena

On a broad scale, the Home Price Index can be useful, but it doesn't specifically apply to any specific U.S. market.  For that, analysts tend to turn to the Case-Shiller Index, a privately-produced report that assesses home values in 20 cities nationwide.

 

The good news for home sellers is that Case-Shiller's most recent report corroborates the government's conclusion -- home values are creeping back.

Home buyers should pay attention. When public and private sector data is in accord, markets tend to go along and, looking back, housing likely bottomed in February 2009.  Since then, home sales are up, home supplies are down, and values have increased in most U.S. markets.  Furthermore, so long as mortgage rates remain low and government stimulus is in place, the trend should continue through at least the first quarter of 2010.

If you're on the fence about buying a home right now, or wondering about timing, consider your options vis-a-vis today's market.  Into the new year, homes won't likely be as cheap to buy, nor to finance.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on December 30, 2009 | Comments (0)

Moving To A New City? Check The Local Cost Of Living First.

New town, new costs. Try a Cost of Living Calculator.It's not only the real estate markets that differ from town to town -- the Cost of Living does, too.

Insurance costs, tax bills and just plain, day-to-day living will dent a household budget differently depending on where that household is.  It can be a nerve-wracking fact for families moving across state borders.

As an aid for the budget-aware, Bankrate.com keeps a Cost of Living Comparison Calculator on its website.  The calculator asks 3 questions: (1) Where do you live now, (2) To where you are moving, and (3) What is your salary.  It then spits out a detailed, 58-item cost comparison list between the two cities.

Some of the key costs compared include:

  • Everyday groceries
  • Energy bills
  • Routine healthcare
  • Home ownership
  • Clothes
  • Sporting goods

The Cost of Living Comparison Calculator is thorough, with data culled from the ACCRA. You'll be surprised at how granular the list can get. On the ACCRA website, you can buy a similar report for $5.

On the Bankrate.com site, the data is free.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on December 29, 2009 | Comments (0)

How To Remove Mildew Smells From A Front-Loading Washing Machine

Front-loading washers may grow mold and mildew without special careThe front-loading washing machine is a popular home appliance choice.  As compared to its top-loading counterpart, a front-loader can handle larger clothing loads, is gentler on garments, and uses about 1/3 less water.

However, because its design prevents water from fully draining, a front-loading washer can be a haven for mold and bacteria if not cared for properly.  It's the story the salesman doesn't often talk about and is the reason why products like Affresh exist.

If you own a front-loading, here's some steps to keep in-washer mildew at bay and your clothes smelling fresh.

  1. Leave the door slightly open after every cycle. This allows water to evaporate.
  2. Use low-sudsing, high-efficiency detergent. If your local store doesn't carry it, try Amazon.
  3. Every week, pull back the rubber seal and wipe the inner ring with a cloth.
  4. Clean the drain pump filter monthly, at least.
  5. Run a bleach-and-hot-water cycle monthly, at least.

Front-loaders are good products, but require special care. Follow the steps above and your washer should remain mildew- and mold-free.

 

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on December 28, 2009 | Comments (0)

There's A Very Good Reason Why The New Home Sales Data Plunged In November

New Home Sales Nov 2008-Nov 2009One day after November's Existing Home Sales report blew away estimates, the Census Bureau's related New Homes Sales report failed to impress.

A "new home" is a home that is newly-constructed; not bought as a resale.

In a lackluster showing, New Home Sales dropped 11 percent in November, falling to the lowest levels since April. Furthermore, the all-important "months of supply" climbed by a half-month to 7.9.

The press pounced on the figures and if you only read the headlines, you'd think that housing had cratered.  Some of the angles were quite bold, even:

  • Weak U.S. Home Sales Show Recovery's Shakiness (Reuters)
  • New Home Sales Plunge In November (CNNMoney.com)
  • Housing Forecast : Off Life Support, Still In Critical Care (CBS News)

These headlines, although technically accurate, only tell half the story, however. The other half relates to November 30's role as the original First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit ending date.

See, different from home resales, when a contract is written on a newly-built home, the home is rarely finished.  According to the Census Bureau, just 1 in 4 new homes are sold "move-in ready".  The other 3 of 4 are in various stages of construction when a buyer signs on the dotted line.

Some have yet to break ground, even.

Regardless, it's at this date of signing that the Census Bureau counts the home as "sold" -- not at the actual closing.  This is the main driver of the November New Home Sales data dip.

First-time home buyers would have risked up to $8,000 in federal tax credits if they bought a newly-built home and it wasn't ready for move-in by November 30, 2009.  And it wasn't until November 5 that the credit was officially extended.

Suddenly, first-timers representing more than half of last month's Existing Home Sales isn't so shocking. Buying new carried a lot risk.

There's always more to the story than the headline.  Sometimes, you have to dig deeper. Looking back over 10 months, the housing market is on a steady course of improvement. November's New Home Sales data -- although weak -- is not terrible.

Despite what the papers might say.

Rich Rogala-Chief Blogging Officer

Posted by Rich Rogala on December 24, 2009 | Comments (0)

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